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Demand and production planning
In a factory, a lot of money is lost to one sentence: “Let’s make this much, it’ll probably sell.” We replace that guess with numbers. We forecast demand for each product from its past sales, and the production plan, safety stock and raw material needs are worked out from that forecast. Overproduction is caught before it gets into the plan, and shelf-life risk shows up weeks in advance.
Delivery
6–12 weeks
The discovery call is free and commits you to nothing. Within three working days you’ll have a written, fixed-price quote.
Two ways to plan
| Today | After delivery | |
|---|---|---|
| 01 | TodayThe plan is made by hand each week, from experience. | After deliveryA suggested plan is ready, and the planner approves or corrects it. |
| 02 | TodayToo much of some products gets made and sits in the warehouse. | After deliveryOverproduction is flagged before it enters the plan. |
| 03 | TodayBy the time anyone notices stock reaching the end of its shelf life, it’s too late. | After deliveryThe risk shows up weeks ahead, while there is still time to act. |
| 04 | TodaySafety stock is set by gut feeling. | After deliveryIt’s calculated from the forecast error. |
| 05 | TodaySometimes too much raw material arrives, sometimes too little. | After deliveryThe requirements plan runs off the same forecast. |
What gets calculated
- 01. Product-level demand forecasting engine
- 02. Separate methods for products with steady and irregular demand
- 03. Suggested weekly or monthly production plan
- 04. Calculated safety stock and target stock levels
- 05. Raw material requirements plan
- 06. Overproduction check: a warning before it enters the plan
- 07. Shelf-life and write-off risk alerts
- 08. Forecast accuracy measurement and tracking
- 09. Outputs delivered to the screens you already use
- 10. Training for the planning team and one month of support
What it changes
Overproduction fills the warehouse and ends with stock being written off, while underproduction means missed orders and angry customers. An experienced planner can find the middle ground, but that experience can’t be measured or handed over, and when the planner leaves, it leaves with them. Once the planning runs on a model, the company keeps that knowledge.
At a food manufacturer
At this food manufacturer, the plan was made each week from experience. Some products were overproduced and went past their date in the warehouse, while others ran short. A product-level forecasting engine was set up, with production suggestions and shelf-life risk alerts. From then on, overproduction was caught before it entered the plan, and the planner now checks a suggestion instead of guessing.
We know this work from the inside
We’re the team that built the demand forecasting engine at one of Türkiye’s largest beverage supply chains. It raised forecast accuracy from 72% to 84% and cut write-off risk in regional warehouses by 81%.
Common questions
Will it work with our current system?
Yes. We work with any system that can export its data, including Logo, Netsis, SAP, Canias, marketplaces and Excel. We keep the system you use and build on top of it.
Does our planning team have to learn a new program?
As far as possible, no. The outputs go into the screens your team already uses. If a new screen is needed, we show people how to use it and support you for a month.
Can we start with a small job first?
That’s what we prefer too. Starting with one small piece and seeing the result is better for both of us than taking on a large project from day one.
The discovery call is free and commits you to nothing. Within three working days you’ll have a written, fixed-price quote.
Book a discovery call